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garden/doomsday argument.md
2025-01-25 23:28:20 +01:00

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  • a philosophical argument.
    • by Brandon Carter and John Leslie and Richard Gott.
    • "Because a random human would tend to find themselves in the middle of the population of all humans to exist…"
      • Why does it imply really we are near extinction, instead of a bit later than halfway? (population growth is accelerating but I think overall ~100 billion humans are expected to have lived so far, and we are only 7 billion currently.)
      • There is the possible reference class issue, as pointed out by Claude.